Ohio State vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (Don't Overlook the Terrapins)

Ohio State vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (Don’t Overlook the Terrapins)

2022 NCAA College Football Game
No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0, 7-0 Big Ten) vs. Maryland Terrapins (6-4- 3-4 Big Ten)
Date: Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Venue: SECU Stadium—College Park, MD
Coverage: ABC

Week 12 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes a Big Ten battle between the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes and Maryland Terrapins. The Buckeyes are 1-of-4 undefeated teams in FBS college football, and rolled to another one-side win last week over Indiana, 56-14.

Meanwhile, Maryland was shutout at Penn State last week 30-0, which followed a road loss at Wisconsin, 23-10.

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: USO: (-4500) | MD: (+1600)
Spread: USO: -17.5 (-110) | DM: +27.5 (-110)
Total: 64.5—Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Ohio State enters this contest as a huge road favorite on the (-27.5) and moneyline (-4500). A major upset by Maryland returns +1600. The Buckeyes opened -25 on Sunday in Las Vegas, and bettors continue to bet the big favorite Buckeyes. The total is currently 64.5 – about a TD higher than average compared to other NCAA football games this week.

Ohio State leads the country in scoring at 46.8 points per game vs FBS opponents. The Buckeyes boast an explosive offense (502/game) led by the Heisman Trophy favorite QB CJ Stroud.

Stroud passed for 406 yards and 5 TD’s in last year’s Buckeyes beatdown of Maryland, 66-17. His 34 TD passes this season is tied for the most in the country, and Stroud has the highest QB Rating in college football. But the Buckeyes are hurting at running back with star RB TreyVeon Henderson still out after missing two games and trying to get back from a foot injury. And last week, Miyan Williams left the game with a leg injury.

The Ohio State defense is also a dominator allowing just 271 yards per game and 15.6 points per game. Maryland QB Taulia Tagovailoa comes off two terrible road games passing for less than 80 yards in each contest. But the Terps still average nearly 400 YPG on offense and the defense is average – not a sieve like this line suggests.

Ohio State will be less than 100% in energy, effort and focus with The Big Game next week against Michigan. The Buckeyes are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs opponents before playing Michigan.

Final Score Prediction: Ohio State: 35 | Maryland: 17

– Ohio State is 10-0 in their last 10 games and 7-0 vs Maryland the last 7 meetings.
– Ohio State is 16-1 SU in their last 17 road games.
– The total has gone Over in 7 of Ohio State’s last 8 games.
– Maryland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games, and 8-4 SU in their last 12.
– Maryland is 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games.
– The total has gone Over in the last 7 OSU-MD meetings.

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

This line is so inflated, as the Buckeyes dominance combined with Maryland’s 0-5 ATS slide forces the oddsmaker to jack-up the betting line. Reality is that Ohio State has played two ranked teams this season, and the Buckeye’s beat Notre Dame 21-10 opening week and Penn State 44-31 on the road in a game they led just 16-14 into the fourth quarter and trailed with 9 minutes to go before a late TD and INT return TD iced the game.

Ohio State has played just three road games and won by 13, 11, and 29 points (MSU). Maryland’s biggest underdog role was +17 at Michigan, and the Terps hung tough in a 34-27 defeat while gaining 400 yards offense. The Buckeyes are +8 in turnover margin this season, and unless TO’s or unforeseen unfortunate penalties are one-side again, the Buckeye’s won’t win this by a huge margin. The big lookahead game with Michigan seals the deal to back the big home ‘Dog. Maryland will at least give a strong effort against the Big Ten’s best, and off that embarrassing loss to the Buckeyes last season.

Bet: Maryland +27.5 (-115) and Under 64.5

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